Economy Reviews
The Pulse of the Economy While Entering Winter
With a great reluctance, I’m welding my article, which measures the pulse of the economy with fresh data when it comes to the winter of 2020, to break the 2020 predictions that will violate your neighbor’s door and violate your neighbor’s door. If everything in my life, one thing went right, even if one goal I had scored in my 60-year miserable life had not been canceled by the heterosexual referee, you would have read my article “2020: The year you will learn to fear climate change up and attack your neighbors in the next apartment.
But what did the Scots say? “When things go hard, hard people go to work”. I didn’t see anyone doing a proper multivariate multi-parametric-non-linear-dynamic UDIDEM economic analysis. As the Great Sycamore of the Economy, I bravely took on this difficult task. Odin let my fingers power — the brain took 2 liters of Bayli’s separation in the morning and coffee from the Sumatra bird scissors, now in Fiji somewhere, handed over the command to the automatic pilot.
The best news is that November sales of homes increased by 138 thousand to 55% compared to the same month of the previous year. But watch out for the flies in the soup. Look at the chart below, while interest rates have declined, and monthly sales have fallen slightly over the past 3 months. So, maybe the demand does not increase, there is a demand accumulated from the summer, is realized. In addition, only 48,000 new homes have been sold. If we say that there are 1 million stocks and 500 thousand units under construction, it will take a long time to melt them val well. Fulfillment: Construction is more resurrected.
Most critical week in markets
The Dollar / TL has moved up suddenly on the last trading day of the week and closed the night between 5.78-5.79 in New York. Turkey acceleration of US sanctions against the draft in the Senate, and Brent oil, OPEC’s daily production of 500 thousand barrels in part the decision of then $ 64 / barrel to exceed seen as a major cause of this jump. This week will be a very critical stage 3 cases for Turkey markets.
First, the CBRT will announce its Wednesday interest rate decision. Second, the Fed is likely to give clues about 2020 when announcing its interest rate decision on the same night. But most importantly, the White House and Beijing now have to make a decision on the Phase 1 Trade Agreement. Parallel to this process, the White House will announce its final decision on additional customs duties on Chinese goods of $ 150-300 billion, which it announced will enter into force on December 15th.
In a world where Erdoğan makes his monetary policy decisions directly and the Trade Agreement is between Trump’s two lips, uncertainties are great, but we are not optimistic.
Let’s start from the optimistic side, although the US Senate is negotiating for draft sanctions, we believe that it may be up to January 2020 to conclude this issue. Ankara orders for the new S-400 also assert that negotiate with Russia, the central issue remains urgent activation of the S-400 battery that gets to Turkey. By finding a solution on this issue, the dispute can be removed from the market agenda for a while.
FÖŞ 2020 forecasts: The warm breath of the Cold War is on our neck
Last night I watch a movie called “Delete’ on YouTube, my second home. A group of hackers called ito Dubito Latince (Latin) elen Suspect önce first sabotages a nuclear reactor in Iran and then the US ballistic missile test. But does it? Because after all these events, they clean up all members of Dubito! Who’s cleaning? Eyes immediately return to the US secret service, of course, if the kangaroo dies in Australia, the guilty US secret services. But the man in charge of the service also receives death threats. Wow, when I say very excited, YouTube threw a commercial for a movie called aks Galaxy of Lust içeri. Why do all women in science fiction films wear mini skirts or tights that can only be removed with pincers?
FÖŞ 2020 forecasts: The warm breath of the Cold War is on our neck
December 24, 2019
Last night I watch a movie called “Delete’ on YouTube, my second home. A group of hackers called ito Dubito Latince (Latin) elen Suspect önce first sabotages a nuclear reactor in Iran and then the US ballistic missile test. But does it? Because after all these events, they clean up all members of Dubito! Who’s cleaning? Eyes immediately return to the US secret service, of course, if the kangaroo dies in Australia, the guilty US secret services. But the man in charge of the service also receives death threats. Wow, when I say very excited, YouTube threw a commercial for a movie called aks Galaxy of Lust içeri. Why in all science fiction movies do women wear mini skirts or tights that can only be removed with pliers?
Anyway, “Delete” inspired me to write one of the most important predictions I’d make for 2020. Geo-political risks. The Trade War is — probably — over, the Fed does not cut interest rates, and investors will now closely monitor the geo-political risks they have long ignored. Already they are not followed to the Middle East and North Africa, from Latin America and now also shown massive spread to India to watch cancağızlarım.eg is we want to make rational predictions about the world or Turkey economics, sociology, we have to take into account the mass psychology of and bittabi political processes. These variables may not always be important. But before you say “economy grows so much olmaz, it is not possible to write without examining whether there is any development on the sociology and politics front that will affect this estimation.
Even if the Trade Wars ended in 2020 (not sure), the US-China sovereignty war will continue. Putin who wanted to prove that he was a boy on every stage of the world at every opportunity, and I think he was the only player in the Super League, who was still the only player in the Super League.
Anyway, “Delete” inspired me to write one of the most important predictions I’d make for 2020. Geo-political risks. The Trade War is — probably — over, the Fed does not cut interest rates, and investors will now closely monitor the geo-political risks they have long ignored. Even if they haven’t watched it, I’m going to have mass demonstrations from the Middle East and North Africa to Latin America and now India.
If we want to make rational predictions about the world or Turkey economics, sociology, psychology of the masses and we have to take into account bittabi political processes. These variables may not always be important. But before you say “economy grows so much olmaz, it is not possible to write without examining whether there is any development on the sociology and politics front that will affect this estimation.